Welcome to the 4th International Temperate Rice Conference, June 25-28, 2007 - Novara, Italy
 
4th TRC2007 Home Page
 



Weather Forecast and Climate for Novara area Research Group in Agrometeorology
Crop Science Department - Milano University
L. Mariani, G. Cola and S. Parisi


General climatology of the rice area of the Novara Province

The Po valley is a large basin surrounded by high mountains (Alps and Apennines) and opened only toward East. If the Easterly opening expose the area to winter cold outbreaks of polar continental air coming from Siberia, the mountain ranges protect the area from the influence of the circulation that characterise the climate of Central Europe and of Mediterranean. According to this, the climate of the Po Valley is a climate of transition between the Mediterranean climate (Koeppen Csa) dominated by anticyclonic patterns and the Central European climate (Koeppen's Cfb), dominated by the oceanic influence of westerlies.
This transitional character of the Po valley climate is shown by the precipitation regime that, with two minima (in summer and winter) and two maxima (in spring and fall) is partially opposite in phase with respect to the evapotranpirational request of the atmosphere, which show a maximum in summer. The consequence is a moderate drought during summer which is intermediate between:

  • the strong summer drought of the Mediterranean climate, which show a strong precipitation minimum in summer, clearly opposite in phase with respect to the evapotranpirational request of the atmosphere;
  • the absence of summer drought of the Central European climate, which presents the precipitation maximum in summer, clearly in phase with respect to the evapotranpirational request of the atmosphere.


  • The area is characterised by yearly mean values of 800 – 1000 mm year-1 for precipitation and 950-1100 mm year-1for reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0); the main driving variables of ET0 show the following behaviour:

  • air temperature: for the study-area the mean annual value is about 12.5-13.5 °C, with absolute minimum and maximum registered in January–February and July-August respectively;

  • wind: the main contribution to mean wind field is given by breezes which dominate during anticyclonic weather patterns (about 200 days year-1); these winds show a dominant direction from north east during night and from south west during day with mean speed of 0.3-0.7 m s-1; strong and gusty winds from north (maximum velocity of 15-25 m s-1) are gauged about 15-25 days year-1, during alpine foehn episodes; low or moderate winds dominates during cyclonic weather patterns (about 100 days year-1); during these situations the prevailing winds are from east or south east.

  • Global solar radiation: peak values of 28-31 MJ m-2 day-1 are reached in summer sunny days.

  • Relative humidity: the area show mean yearly values of 65-70%, with strong minima (10-15%) reached during alpine foehn episodes.

  • Climate of the third decade of June (climatic normal 1971-2000)

    The third decade of June show mean temperature values of 27-29°C for maximum and 14-16°C for minimum but during hot phases (mainly due to subtropical anticyclonic patterns advecting air from North Africa) maximum temperature can reach 34-36°C and minimum can reach 24-26°C. Vice-versa cold outbreaks of artic air can give severe thunderstorm activity and minimum temperatures can drop below 12-15°C. The probability of rain during the third decade of June is relatively low (mean values of 25 mm of rainfall distributed on a mean number of 2 days).

    Clothing

    Light cotton clothes are recommended. Rainwear and humbrella should be useful for rainy days.



    GENERAL EVOLUTION (from June 25 to July 02)

    A weak frontal system will cross the Occidental Alps during Mon 25/6. Monday 25 and Tuesday 26 isolated showers and decrease of air temperature. In the next days westerly circulation regime without rainfall.
    Predictability of forecasted weather: medium to low for the whole period.

    Air temperature Forecast (°C)

      Mon 25/6 Tue 26/6 Wed 27/6 Thu 28/6 Fri 29/6 Sat 30/6 Sun 01/7 Mon 02/7

    Minimum 17/19 16/18 15/17 15/17 15/17 16/18 16/18 16/18
    Maximum 29/31 26/28 23/25 22/24 23/25 26/28 28/30 27/29

    Revised June 24, 2007

    Recommended viewing resolution 1024 x 768. (Browser IE5 & above).
    Web Design & Programming by D. Ditto , Crop Science Department - Di.Pro.Ve. - Milano University
    Last Update: June 24, 2007 - You are visitor number 59484, since 06.11.2006.